Reflection №daily-reflection-328-write-the-prediction-down
Here is an experiment that is unflattering and worth doing anyway. Think of something you had a strong view about a year ago, such as a technology, a…
2 November 2026
Reflection №daily-reflection-327-the-half-life-of-what-you-know
A good deal of what I was taught as a young researcher has quietly expired. Not been refined or extended; expired. Some of it was wrong at the…
30 October 2026
Reflection №daily-reflection-326-the-only-thing-that-compounds-for-free
Most assets require maintenance. Skills decay without practice, fitness disappears within months of stopping, knowledge expires. There is one exception I can think of, which is reputation. A…
29 October 2026
Reflection №daily-reflection-325-nobody-is-watching-that-closely
There is a well-documented phenomenon called the spotlight effect, and the finding is simply that we badly overestimate how much other people notice us. The research tends to…
28 October 2026
Reflection №daily-reflection-324-widening-the-luck-surface
People in successful positions tend to describe their luck in two very different ways depending on who is listening. In public it is modesty: I was lucky. In…
27 October 2026
Reflection №daily-reflection-323-slow-is-smooth-smooth-is-fast
I argued recently that pressure is a good thing, and I stand by it. Deadlines concentrate the mind and force prioritisation in a way that abundant time never…
26 October 2026
